General predictions and guesses
2018 Electricity and Storage
- As we move to more variable solar (and a bit of wind) storage will not keep up.
- The solution is demand side management using variable price, send a data stream on the power line with price changing on a minute by minute basis.
- Every minute you get 1. Current price e.g. $0.02111/kWh, 2. estimate price in next 5min, 3. estimated price in next 30min
- There should also be a way for homeowners to supply power from batteries if the price is right, with some incentive to make it less variable
- Less Variable supply.
- 1st Min x1 kW free.
- 2nd Min only paid for up to 1stMin x1 kW, if more than 1st everything more than 10% increase kW (x2-x1*1.1) free, if less than kW free if not in 10% of 1st min
- and so on always looking at previous minute
- Incentivise to slow ramp, e.g. 500W/1stmin-free, 550W/2ndmin - full pay, etc, and when price falls, slow wramp down 1kW/t+0min, 900w/t+1min, 810w/t+2min.
- Less Variable supply.
201805 - Wifi in Datacenters
- As wifi gets faster, 10Gbit/100Gbit it will be used as a server interconnect in data centers.
- Allows for auto re-wire depending on speed needed, e.g. moving to less loaded AP/Switch
- Simplify replacement and moving of servers.
2015 Self-driving cars
- Will be with us by 2020
- It will be a huge disrupter for the economy and civilization
- Replace - Taxi drivers, Truck drivers 24x7, Long hall trains, just sleep in your car, Delivery's
2014 Perimeter security is at an end
- The internet is becoming the network
2013 the bus of the future should be highspeed Poe ethernet
- Interconnect CPU, Graphics, HD, etc.
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