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= General predictions and guesses =
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= 201805 - Wifi in Datacenters =
 * As wifi gets faster, 10Gbit/100Gbit it will be used as server interconnect in datacenters.
== 2018 Electricity and Storage ==
 * As we move to more variable solar (and a bit of wind) storage will not keep up.
 * The solution is demand side management using variable price, send a data stream on the power line with price changing on a minute by minute basis.
 * Every minute you get 1. Current price e.g. $0.02111/kWh, 2. estimate price in next 5min, 3. estimated price in next 30min
 * There should also be a way for homeowners to supply power from batteries if the price is right, with some incentive to make it less variable
   * Less Variable supply.
     * 1st Min x1 kW free.
     * 2nd Min only paid for up to 1stMin x1 kW, if more than 1st everything more than 10% increase kW (x2-x1*1.1) free, if less than kW free if not in 10% of 1st min
     * and so on always looking at previous minute
     * Incentivise to slow ramp, e.g. 500W/1stmin-free, 550W/2ndmin - full pay, etc, and when price falls, slow wramp down 1kW/t+0min, 900w/t+1min, 810w/t+2min.
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= 2015 Self-driving cars = == 201805 - Wifi in Datacenters ==
 * As wifi gets faster, 10Gbit/100Gbit it will be used as a server interconnect in data centers.
 * Allows for auto re-wire depending on speed needed, e.g. moving to less loaded AP/Switch
 * Simplify replacement and moving of servers.

== 2015 Self-driving cars ==
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== 2014 Perimeter security is at an end ==
 * The internet is becoming the network
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== 2013 the bus of the future should be highspeed Poe ethernet ==
 * Interconnect CPU, Graphics, HD, etc.

General predictions and guesses

2018 Electricity and Storage

  • As we move to more variable solar (and a bit of wind) storage will not keep up.
  • The solution is demand side management using variable price, send a data stream on the power line with price changing on a minute by minute basis.
  • Every minute you get 1. Current price e.g. $0.02111/kWh, 2. estimate price in next 5min, 3. estimated price in next 30min
  • There should also be a way for homeowners to supply power from batteries if the price is right, with some incentive to make it less variable
    • Less Variable supply.
      • 1st Min x1 kW free.
      • 2nd Min only paid for up to 1stMin x1 kW, if more than 1st everything more than 10% increase kW (x2-x1*1.1) free, if less than kW free if not in 10% of 1st min
      • and so on always looking at previous minute
      • Incentivise to slow ramp, e.g. 500W/1stmin-free, 550W/2ndmin - full pay, etc, and when price falls, slow wramp down 1kW/t+0min, 900w/t+1min, 810w/t+2min.

201805 - Wifi in Datacenters

  • As wifi gets faster, 10Gbit/100Gbit it will be used as a server interconnect in data centers.
  • Allows for auto re-wire depending on speed needed, e.g. moving to less loaded AP/Switch
  • Simplify replacement and moving of servers.

2015 Self-driving cars

  • Will be with us by 2020
  • It will be a huge disrupter for the economy and civilization
    • Replace - Taxi drivers, Truck drivers 24x7, Long hall trains, just sleep in your car, Delivery's

2014 Perimeter security is at an end

  • The internet is becoming the network

2013 the bus of the future should be highspeed Poe ethernet

  • Interconnect CPU, Graphics, HD, etc.

...

FuturePredictions (last edited 2018-05-20 05:36:07 by PieterSmit)